While Hillary Clinton may be currently leading Donald Trump in the polls (on average), she may still be in store for an October surprise.
A number of the major polls this election cycle have been proven to be problematic. Many have over-sampled registered Democrats, and undersampled registered Republicans relative to their share of the national population. Other polls have polled demographically out of proportion to the national population, stuffing their polls with a disproportionately large amount of Hispanic voters (who are mostly voting Hillary).
If there’s a gap we can prove – it’s an enthusiasm gap. How many people do you know who are voting for Hillary are actually enthusiastic about supporting her (or actually support her – not just oppose Donald Trump). Donald Trump joked at the Alfred E. Smith dinner on Thursday night that the 1000 people at the dinner were Hillary’s largest crowd of the season – and while he got booed for hounding Hillary, the truth isn’t far off.
While lagging in the polls, Trump has been drawing the major crowds. His base is much more energized – and thus more likely to get off their couches (well, since we’re talking about Republicans, maybe “take a lunch break” is a more appropriate way of putting it) and vote.
As the Gateway Pundit reported:
Hillary has participated in only 34 campaign rallies to Trump’s 87. Of Hillary’s 34 campaign rallies where she was present, only a dozen of these events had crowd estimated at over 1,000 people.
Donald Trump on the other hand held 87 events in the same time period of which only 7 had crowds estimated at less than 1,000. Most, if not all, of these small crowds for Trump were special campaign events where he gave speeches on foreign policy, childcare, or his recent Gettysburg address, for example. Trump has held 80 events with crowds more than 1,000 in this same time period with 16 of these events with crowds 10,000 or greater.
Trump averages more than 6,000 at his events while Hillary averages less than 1,000. Because Trump has many more events than Hillary, he averages getting in front of more than 6,700 per day compared to Hillary’s 380 per day in this time period. Because Trump has worked much harder he has 53 more events than Hillary, which has resulted in Trump having more than a half a million (530,000) more participants at his events than Hillary.
Hillary has taken 57 days off without participating in campaign rallies since July. She is either sick or her campaign thinks she’ll do better if she doesn’t get in front of people or her campaign doesn’t want to show the abysmal lack of interest in her and her events.
Meanwhile, the media has been exposed time and time again overstating the size of Hillary’s crowds.
Back in August, Twitter users called out Washington Post national political “reporter” Abby D. Phillip for biased reporting. Phillip posted a photo to twitter saying: “Big, boisterous crowd here in Omaha for Hillary Clinton and Warren Buffett.”
There was just one problem.
The image was both taken from deceptive angle and heavily cropped to make the photo look like it was taken in a packed room.
In reality, just over fifty people showed up.
The media controls the narrative – but they’re only as strong as we let them be. Get the word out and share this post on Facebook and Twitter.