I have warned for years now that war was coming with China, Russia and Iran. Until recently, foreign policy wonks such as myself and others were laughed at over the prediction. No longer. Both the US and China are now making war moves in the South China Sea and the whole thing could blow up at any time.
The US has moved multiple warships into the area using the cover that we are protecting our ally, the Philippines. China has claimed the whole area as their own and they are not backing down. The UN has said their claims are invalid, but that hardly matters to the Chinese.
In a congressional hearing on Wednesday, former Director of National Intelligence and retired Navy admiral Dennis Blair told the panel that the United States should be prepared to use military force to oppose Chinese aggression in the South China Sea.
“I think we need to have some specific lines and then encourage China to compromise on some of its objectives,” Blair, who headed the U.S. Pacific Command while in the Navy, said at the hearing.
The admiral’s recommendation came the day after a United Nations tribunal invalidated China’s claim of territorial rights to nearly all of the waters in the South China Sea.
The U.S., citing the territorial dispute and security concerns raised by its allies in the region, have for months been sending warships into the South China Sea as a check against Chinese hostility.
Beijing, acutely aware of the military buildup off its coast, has publicly warned the U.S. it’s more than ready to defend against provocations. “China hopes disputes can be resolved by talks… but it must be prepared for any military confrontation.”
Obama has gutted our military to post WWI levels. He is still reducing our nuclear stockpiles and has decimated our weaponry. All of this at a time when war is facing us on multiple fronts. It looks purposeful and intentional to say the least. We are now toe to toe not only with ISIS, but the new Axis of Evil: China, Russia and Iran. All of them are salivating over an opening to take us down. Obama is doing his level best to give them that opportunity.
Countries are now beginning to take sides. With the US perceived as a weak entity, these countries are going with a strong horse. China has been quietly courting countries such as Australia to gain their alliance. Much of this involves economics, but more than a little of this involves geopolitical militaristic maneuvers.
China has never truly been an ally. But they are patient and very calculating. At one point recently, Barack Obama sent a guided missile destroyer into disputed waters in the South China Sea to see if the Chinese would start shooting at it. They backed down, but that won’t last for long.
Given any other leader, I would say that a show of force to back off China is the right thing to do. With Obama, I wonder if he is not deliberately antagonizing the Chinese to goad them into war with us. It is a complicated chess board that we find ourselves on and it is almost impossible to tell friend from foe, even in our own ranks.
The old saying, hope for peace, prepare for war is appropriate here. But I would go even further… war is coming. In fact, I truly believe we are already in the first stages of WWIII. Should the US find herself at war, it will be with multiple enemies. At this point, I’m not sure we can win one war, much less numerous ones. Obama has seen to that.