GOP Rep. Michael Grimm, who was indicted on tax and wire fraud charges in April and in January famously threatened to throw a reporter off a balcony after President Obama’s State of the Union address, is leading his Democratic opponent by 19 points in a new poll.
Mr. Grimm leads Democratic challenger Domenic Recchia, 53 percent to 34 percent, in a new Sienna College poll on the race in New York’s Staten Island-based 11th congressional district — up from a 4-point, 44 percent to 40 percent lead from a Siena poll about two months ago.
“Early on, this race looked like it was going to be one of the closest in the state — a former Democratic City Council member taking on an embattled incumbent Republican under federal indictment in a district that is — at least by enrollment — dominated by Democrats,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg. “That no longer seems to be the case, as Grimm has taken a commanding 19-point lead into the final days of the campaign.”
Mr. Grimm actually has a positive 48 percent/43 percent favorable/unfavorable split and leads by 19 points among both men and women. He’s also winning independents, 59 percent to 22 percent, and takes 31 percent among Democrats.
Regardless of the final margin, a loss to Mr. Grimm would deal an embarrassing blow to House Democrats, who are already facing the prospect of Republicans padding their sizable majority in the House.
The survey of 713 likely voters was taken from Oct. 26-28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.