Apparently all of Hillary’s lies about Trump aren’t swaying voters. After weeks of cries of “Trump campaign in free fall!” and “Campaign imploding!” by the pundits, Trump has bounced back up to within two points of Hillary a new Zogby poll shows.
The new Zogby Analytics poll that asked 1,277 likely voters who they would vote for if the election was held today was conducted between August 12th & 13th. The poll has a +/-2.8% margin of error.
According to Zogby, Clinton has a slight lead with 38 percentage points to Trump’s 36. The last few weeks had Trump down as much as 13 points in nationwide polls. It appears he is bouncing back.
'It's just a 2-point race, Clinton 38%, Trump 36%' https://t.co/EzDzJ4EzIN
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 16, 2016
Some of the takeaways from the Zogby online poll:
Trump leads Clinton among men 41% to 35%. He leads among voters 50-64 years old 41%-36%. With those 65 and older he is sitting at 44% compared to Hillary’s 36.
Hillary has a very slight lead with middle income voters who earn between $35k & 50k annually, coming in at 38% to Trump’s 37%.
She is doing better among voters who have higher incomes. With voters earning between $50k & 75K she has a three-point lead, 37%-34%. In the $75-100k range Hillary is coming in at 45% to Trump’s 35.
Among Millennials (Hillary’s core-base) 18-29 years old, Hillary is at 36% with Trump at 26. Voters between 18 and 24 lean heavily towards Clinton, 59%-22%.
It should be noted, Millennials are less likely to show up to the polls compared to their older counterparts. Even the anti-Trump Washington Post reported that this would be a problem for Hillary. According to the Post, “election analysts such as Philip Bump look at the historical data and conclude that any campaign that depends on the millennial vote is doomed to failure.”
Among minorities, Zogby has Hispanics at 51% for Hillary, and 18% for Trump. African-Americans apparently want to stay on the Dem plantation as they lean heavily towards Hillary with 81% saying they would vote for her. Only 8% of blacks indicate that they are on the Trump Train.
Women come in for Hillary at 42% compared to 32% for Trump.
The good news for Trump? Independents are tracking towards his campaign. Trump gets 32% of that voter block compared to Hillary’s to 26.
According to Zogby, Trump has “closed the gap among older Millennials. Trump is tied with Clinton at 30% among 25-34 year old voters.”
More good news for Trump? Zogby went over some historical data and reported,
“Over the years we have tracked voting habits among NASCAR fans and Weekly WalMart shoppers. Ten years ago these groups tended to slant conservative and Republican. That trend has been reversed during the Obama Presidency, and these consumers tend to be more liberal and supporters of Democrats today. Trump has reversed this trend. Both NASCAR fans and WalMart shoppers favor Trump over Clinton. Donald Trump is winning NASCAR fans (44% to 36%) and weekly WalMart shoppers 41% to 36%.“
So after weeks of hearing the naysayers & “Never Trumpers” cry “Trump is finished!,” it appears that he really isn’t. The billionaire real estate magnate has confounded pundits & professional politicos once again.
If there’s anything we’ve learned from this crazy-awesome election, it’s to never count Trump out. He’s the Timex watch that keeps ticking. The Energizer Bunny that keeps going. The little engine (or in Trump’s case, the YUGE engine) that could.
There’s three months left to go until election day. Watch as Trump and his campaign become more & more focused on Hillary & the issues, and start spending that ad money in battleground states.
My prediction is Trump will crush Hillary in a landslide. Well, maybe not a landslide, but in seriously convincing fashion. As his daughter Ivanka said at the Republican national convention, “when someone tells my dad that something’s impossible, he goes out and proves them wrong.”
When Trump does the “seemingly” impossible & wins in November, we’ll all be doing “The Carlton.”
Share this if you’re voting for Trump on November 8th!