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Politics

For the first time….Red States Outnumber Blue in Gallup Tracking

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From Pamela Geller

We can thank Obama for this.

And we can elect a true conservative like Cruz because of Obama and Hillary.

Carter beget Reagan
Dinkins beget Giuliani
Obama begets Cruz.

Trump is in complete self destruct mode. Today he is attacking Cruz on the Iowa win, calling for a “do-over.” He is taking sore loser to a new low. It won’t fly. Trump’s biggest problem is his poll negatives are sky high despite his popularity.

“Red States Outnumber Blue for First Time in Gallup Tracking,” Gallup, February 3, 2016:
20 states solidly or leaning Republican, 14 solidly or leaning Democratic
Wyoming most Republican state; Vermont, Hawaii most Democratic

Alabama and Idaho are most conservative states

 

From Gallup

PRINCETON, N.J. — Gallup’s analysis of political party affiliation at the state level in 2015 finds that 20 states are solidly Republican or leaning Republican, compared with 14 solidly Democratic or leaning Democratic states. The remaining 16 are competitive. This is the first time in Gallup’s eight years of tracking partisanship by state that there have been more Republican than Democratic states. It also marks a dramatic shift from 2008, when Democratic strength nationally was its greatest in recent decades.

Political Composition of the 50 U.S. States

Importantly, even though Republicans claim a greater number of states, Democrats continue to hold an edge nationally in partisanship. In 2015 Gallup Daily tracking data, 43% of all U.S. adults identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, compared with 40% identifying as Republican or leaning Republican. That is largely because many of the most populous states, including California, New York and Illinois, are Democratically aligned.

Party Affiliation of U.S. States

Gallup asks Americans each day as part of its Daily tracking survey whether they identify politically as a Democrat, a Republican or an independent. Independents are then probed as to whether they lean toward the Democratic or Republican Party. Combining the percentage of party identifiers and leaners gives a sense of the relative strength of each party in a given state, particularly because the percentage of political independents varies widely from state to state and can be high in states in which one party dominates electoral outcomes. The estimates are based on Gallup Daily tracking interviewing throughout 2015 and include no fewer than 488 residents in any state, with most state samples greater than 1,000.

Gallup considers states to be solidly favoring one party when they have a greater-than 10-percentage-point advantage over the other in party affiliation among the state’s adult population. “Leaning” states are those in which one party has an advantage of more than five points but less than 10 points. Competitive states show the parties within five points of each other.

In 2008, Democrats enjoyed a better-than 10-point advantage in party affiliation nationwide, as President George W. Bush suffered through low job approval ratings as a result of the recession and the ongoing war in Iraq. That year, Gallup classified a total of 35 states as solidly Democratic or Democratic leaning, compared with only five solidly or leaning Republican states.

In the last several years, excluding 2012 when President Barack Obama won re-election, there has been a roughly equal number of Democratic and Republican states. But that changed last year, when many more states’ political leanings moved in a Republican rather than a Democratic direction, giving Republicans a lead in more states than Democrats.

In all, 13 states’ political classifications changed between 2014 and 2015, with 11 of these shifting in a more Republican direction. The Democrats lost three states — Maine, Pennsylvania and Michigan — each of which moved from Democratic-leaning to competitive. Meanwhile, Republicans gained five states — New Hampshire, West Virginia, Missouri, South Carolina and Texas — all moving from competitive to leaning or solidly Republican. Additionally, Alaska and Oklahoma shifted from leaning Republican to being solidly Republican, and Delaware from being solidly Democratic to leaning Democratic.

Nebraska and New Mexico are the two states that moved in a more Democratic direction, though Nebraska remains in the Republican column, shifting from solidly Republican to leaning Republican. New Mexico moved from a leaning Democratic state to a solid one.

The following map displays the political classification of each state based on 2015 data. The full party results for each state appear at the end of the article.

Party Affiliation by State, 2015

Wyoming Most Republican State; Vermont and Hawaii Most Democratic

The Republican Party had its biggest advantage in state party affiliation in Wyoming in 2015 — 60% of Wyoming adults identified as Republican or leaned Republican, while 28% identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic — a 32-point gap. The GOP advantage was nearly as large in Idaho and Utah, at roughly 30 points each. Vermont and Hawaii were the most Democratic states, with advantages in favor of the Democratic Party in excess of 20 points.

Most Republican and Most Democratic States, 2015

The most Republican and most Democratic states have been fairly consistent over time. Wyoming, Utah, Idaho and Kansas have been among the 10 most Republican states in each of the last eight years, and Montana, Alaska, Alabama, Nebraska and North Dakota have appeared in the top 10 in seven of the eight years. There is even greater consistency among Democratic states — all but two of the 10 most Democratic states in 2015 (New Mexico and Connecticut) have ranked in the top 10 in each of the last eight years, with Connecticut appearing seven times. New Mexico ranked among the top 10 states for the first time in 2015, with Delaware falling out of the top 10.

Ohio, North Carolina, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Florida are the most evenly balanced states politically, with less than one point separating Democratic and Republican Party preferences in those states. These states have been among the most highly contested “swing states” in recent presidential elections.

Alabama, Idaho Most Conservative States

In addition to assessing party leanings, Gallup asks Americans whether they identify politically as liberal, moderate or conservative. Nationally, many more Americans say they are conservative than liberal, and consequently, conservatives outnumber liberals in all but three states — Vermont, Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The full data on ideology by state appear at the end of the article.

Partisanship and ideology are highly correlated. As a result, there is usually much overlap between the most conservative and most Republican states and, alternatively, between the most liberal and most Democratic states. Seven of the 10 most Republican states also rank among the most conservative, although Alabama, the fifth-most Republican state, ties Idaho as the most conservative. Vermont ranks as the most liberal state by a wide margin over second-place Massachusetts.

Most and Least Conservative States, 2015

States that rank among the most conservative but not the most Republican include Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana, three Southern states that recently have voted Republican but were strongly Democratic states decades ago. Oregon, New Jersey and Washington rank among the least conservative states, but not among the most Democratic. However, those three states rank just outside the 10 most Democratic.

Implications

Monday’s voting in the Iowa caucuses marked the beginning of voting in the 2016 presidential election campaign. The ultimate winner will be determined according to electoral votes won, based on each state’s popular vote on Election Day this November. Presidential campaign strategists spend a lot of time developing their campaign plan and allocating resources based on which states’ outcomes are uncertain to determine where campaigning can make the biggest difference.

The partisanship of the state population is a starting point in determining a state’s likely vote, and there are more states in the Republican column heading into 2016 — a positive sign for the GOP. But because electoral votes are based on state population, the size of the state matters as much as the number of states each party holds. The 20 states that Gallup classifies as solidly Republican or leaning Republican account for 152 electoral votes, less than the 187 accounted for by the 14 solidly or leaning Democratic states plus the heavily Democratic District of Columbia.

But the election will not be merely a reflection of party preferences among adults in each state. If party preferences led directly to vote outcomes, Democrats would surely have won most presidential elections in the past, given their historical advantage in party preferences nationally.

Turnout is another key factor in determining the outcome, and it will especially be key in the 16 competitive states, which together account for 199 electoral votes. Republicans typically have an advantage in voter turnout in elections, and they will need to at least match Democratic turnout in competitive states in which they have a slight party advantage among all adults, such as Georgia, Virginia and Arizona. And the GOP will likely need to exceed Democratic turnout to win some of the larger, most politically balanced states like Florida, Ohio and North Carolina.

These data are available in Gallup Analytics.

 

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Politics

BREAKING NEWS!!! They JUST Banned TRUMP!!!

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Now we have seen it all!

A London borough which has the highest percentage of “Religion of Peace” following immigrants in Great Britain has now voted to ban the United States President Donald J. Trump in their area. The reason they gave was that he’s a “racist” and a “bigot.”

The Trump ban which was proposed by Councillor Ohid Ahmed and Councillor Oliur Rahman. passed with a strong majority vote this week and it calls for President Trump’s planned state visit to the United Kingdom to be canceled.  It goes on to stipulate that if the British Government does still choose to go ahead with the State Visit President Trump is not welcomed in that particular Muslim Borough. This Muslim area in East London includes the famous Tower Bridge and Canary Wharf, but the ban does not appear to be enforceable or even legal.

The current far left-wing Labour mayor, John Biggs publicly stated that President Donald Trump doesn’t applaud diversity nor does he respect the culture of others and doesn’t respect women. He also added that Trump is failing in his leadership and that Great Britain should not welcome him. But perhaps the most unbelievable statement this hack made is when he said: “We must be vigorous in our intolerance of his intolerance.”

Hey, Biggs and all the rest of you women and gay hating Islamists in Great Britain. President Trump didn’t attack your people by mowing them down with trucks on the London Bridge. He didn’t throw acid on any of your citizens and he didn’t gang rape any of your women. But guess what? The “tolerant” Muslims you have welcomed into your country have. They have turned a once great nation into a cesspool of pestilence and crime.

But instead of attacking the people who are really causing the problem in your nation, you attack our President, whose only mission is to keep The United States of America from becoming the same Islamic infested cesspool your nation has turned into.

List of Terrorist attacks in Great Britain:

2005, 7 July: 7/7 central London bombings conducted by four separate Islamist extremist suicide bombers, which targeted civilians using the public transport system during the morning rush hour. Three bombs were detonated on three separate trains on the London Underground and one on a double-decker bus. As well as the suicide bombers, 52 other people were killed and around 700 more were injured. It was the UK’s worst terrorist incident since the 1988 Lockerbie bombing and the first Islamist suicide attack in the country.

2007, January–February: Miles Cooper letter bomb campaign. Miles Cooper said he was motivated by anti-authoritarianism and opposition to surveillance.[43]

2007, 30 June: Glasgow International Airport attack perpetrated by Islamist extremists. Five people were injured and the only death was of one of the perpetrators, who later died in hospital from his injuries.

2008, 22 May: Exeter attempted bombing in a café toilet by an Islamist extremist, injuring only the perpetrator.

2013, 29 April to 12 July: Pavlo Lapshyn attacks. Lapshyn, a Ukrainian student and right-wing extremist, stabbed Mohammed Saleem, a Birmingham resident to death on 29 April. He later admitted to police that he wished to start a “race war”.[44] Lapshyn later detonated a home-made bomb outside a mosque in Walsall on 21 June. 150 homes were evacuated but no person was injured.[45] On 28 June Lapshyn detonated a second home-made bomb near a mosque in Wolverhampton, and attacked a mosque in Tipton with an improvised explosive device containing nails on 12 July. Friday prayers were delayed that day, and so his intended victims were still inside. Laphsyn was later sentenced to serve a minimum of 40 years.[46][47][48]

2013, 22 May: A British soldier, Lee Rigby, was murdered and decapitated in an attack in Woolwich by Michael Adebolajo and Michael Adebowale, two Islamist extremists armed with a handgun and a number of bladed implements including a cleaver. Both men were sentenced to life imprisonment, with Adebolajo given a whole life order and Adebowale ordered to serve at least 45 years.[49]

2015, 5 December: A man with a knife attacked three people at Leytonstone Tube Station in East London. The attacker was 29-year old Muhaydin Mire who was shouting “this is for Syria”. The attacker was found guilty of attempted murder in June 2016. Three people were injured in the attack and one was seriously injured.[50]

2016, 16 June: Murder of Jo Cox – Thomas Mair, a 52-year-old white nationalist, shot and stabbed the MP Jo Cox outside a surgery in Birstall, West Yorkshire, and severely wounded a passerby who came to her aid. Mair shouted “This is for Britain”, “keep Britain independent”, and “Put Britain first” as he attacked Cox – although he had links to far-right groups, he acted alone. The attack was treated as an act of terrorism,[51] and in sentencing Mair the judge said “There is no doubt that this murder was done for the purpose of advancing a political, racial and ideological cause namely that of violent white supremacism and exclusive nationalism most associated with Nazism and its modern forms”.[52].

2017, 22 March: 2017 Westminster attack – Khalid Masood, a 52-year-old British man, born in Kent as Adrian Elms, drove a car into pedestrians on Westminster Bridge, before crashing the vehicle into the Palace of Westminster’s perimeter. He then entered the grounds of the Palace of Westminster, the meeting place of the Houses of Parliament, before being confronted by a police officer. Masood then fatally wounded the officer, which led to him being shot by armed police officers protecting the Palace. Four other people were killed in the attack, and 49 other people were injured. The attack was treated as an act of terrorism motivated by Islamic extremism.[53][54][55][56]

2017, 22 May: 2017 Manchester Arena bombing – A large explosion caused by Salmen Abedi, a British suicide attacker of Libyan descent with a bomb at the Manchester Arena, Manchester, killing 22 individuals and injuring 250 at the end of an Ariana Grande concert. This was the worst terrorist attack in Britain since the 7/7 London bombings in 2005. Many of the 22 victims were children or teenagers, the youngest being an eight-year-old girl.[57][58]

2017, 3 June: June 2017 London attack. Less than two weeks after the Manchester Arena bombing, a second terrorist attack occurred on British soil, this time in London. A total of eight people were killed and at least 48 injured, some critically. A white van drove at high speed across London Bridge, running into groups of people, then crashed. The occupants then ran to nearby Borough Market, where they stabbed more people.[59][60][61] All three of the terrorists responsible were shot dead by police eight minutes after the incident was reported. All three were wearing imitation suicide bomb vests.

2017, 19 June: Finsbury Park Attack. Darren Osborne, a 47 year old British man drove a vehicle into Muslim worshippers close to a mosque in Finsbury Park, London.

2017, 15 September: A London tube train was targeted, witnesses reported a flash and bang.[62] 30 people were injured, mostly with Flash burns and Crush injuries, but there were no fatalities. The threat level was raised to its highest point of critical soon after.[63]

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Politics

BREAKING NEWS! Melania Trump FINALLY Did IT!! What An Accomplishment!

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Current first lady Melania Trump is the epitome of grace and style, conducting herself with the dignity and class that has long been missing from the White House. Saturday marks the end of her first year as she has navigated an onslaught of landmines laid about by detractors and hostile media that look for reasons to criticize and create drama regarding her every move.

Mrs. Trump is known for her privacy and understated elegance. Carrying herself with quiet dignity she has been likened to Jackie O many times and she just simply does not lower herself to their level of schoolyard antics. Despite that, it did not stop the critics from sinking to all new levels of low all on their own as evidenced by the barrage of designers that felt it necessary to announce to the world that they refused to dress the former model and current first lady.  Among them, Sophie Theallet, who stated –“As one who celebrates and strives for diversity, individual freedom, and respect for all lifestyles, I will not participate in dressing or associating in any way with the next First Lady.”

The left never seems to grasp the irony that diversity, freedom, and respect are not a one-way street. Then there was stiletto-gate which made much ado about the first lady’s choice to leave the White House wearing high heels to go to Texas to assess damage from Hurricane Harvey and change to tennis shoes aboard Air Force One upon landing was somehow wrong. People lost everything in a hurricane and major news outlets were more concerned about the first lady changing her shoes on Air Force One. Let’s ponder that for a minute….shall we? Cringeworthy isn’t it?

Her choice of footwear had become a ridiculous topic of discussion, with mainstream media outlets attempting to paint her as disdainful and distant from the victims of the disaster. Conservative media shot back that it was another example of the media’s anti-Trump derangement.

“Spiky pumps are completely appropriate footwear for a hurricane zone, right?” snarked a critic at the Daily Beast under the headline, “Melania Trump Heads to Houston Hurricane Zone in Sky-High Stilettos.”

While the first lady refrained from answering her critics directly, her communications director put out a statement saying, “It’s sad that we have an active and ongoing natural disaster in Texas, and people are worried about her shoes.”

Mrs. Trump has also been criticized for her anti-cyberbullying campaign because her critics think it is at odds with President Donald Trump’s Twitter habits. The first lady has stated of her anti-cyberbullying initiative in November, according to The Guardian –

“Our culture has gotten too mean and too rough, especially to children and teenagers. It is never OK when a 12-year-old girl or boy is mocked, bullied or attacked. It is terrible when that happens on the playground and it is absolutely unacceptable when it’s done by someone with no name hiding on the internet.”

Has been hysterical and uncouth unfunny “comedian” Chelsea Handler often has taken to Twitter to attack Mrs. Trump as well as Barron Trump – Mrs. Trump’s son with President Trump.  She most recently went after the first lady, accusing her of not being able to speak English. Except that is completely false – Melania can speak five different languages and English is just one of them. The only language Handler speaks is the ridiculous third wave feminist fiction that she and her leftist progressive Hollywood friends unleash on anyone who disagrees with them because we alternate points of view? Who needs that? Handler and her friends could learn a few things about grace, decorum, class, and dignity from Mrs. Trump.

Critics also bashed Mrs. Trump’s choice of Christmas decorations this year for White House because you know nothing is off limits, calling the White House a “house of horrors” and the New Yorker referred to Mrs. Trump as a “wicked queen,” and she was repeatedly criticized for wearing a coat while decorating the Christmas tree. One hallway in the White House was decorated in all white and lined with trees. The first lady’s detractors compared it to “The Nightmare Before Christmas,” “The Blair Witch Project,” and “The Shining.” She was even criticized at one point during the White House Christmas festivities because she was caught interacting with predominantly African-American children. Yet the Trump administration is supposed to be so very “racist.” They better change that “narrative” in a hurry! Oh, I forgot….now they are accusing her of staging the encounter!

Despite all of this, many consider Mrs. Trump’s first year as the first lady to be a rousing success. She has kept her composure despite continued vicious and unprecedented attacks against herself, her son, and her husband by a brutal and vicious media and public intent on creating news rather than reporting it.  Through it all, she has managed to maintain a low profile and keep her head held high.

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Immigration

BREAKING!! After He Forced Govt Shutdown, 2 VIDEOS Surfaced That Will DESTROY HIS CAREER!!

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Now, this is golden, and the meaning of hypocrisy!

The New York Democrat Senator Chuck Schumer led the asinine fight this week to shut down the government over illegal aliens. But since we now have the Internet two videos from the past are coming back to haunt him.

The two videos show his true feelings on the matter of holding the nation hostage with a shutdown and his true feelings about Illegal Aliens invading our great nation.

These two videos fully expose this creep’s and his Democrat Party’s plans. It’s now all about hating President Trump and us Law Abiding American Citizens in order to secure their future electorate. Not long ago, he opposed both amnesty and open borders, and he was against political parties holding the nation hostage if they didn’t get their way. But today this hack of a politician and his comrades in the Democrat Party are doing just that.

The Hill Reports:

If Congress and the president don’t reach an immigration deal in the next two months, more than 690,000 young DACA recipients will lose their temporary work permits and protections from deportation. Nobody wants to see that happen. Most of these young people were brought to this country through no fault of their own, and they relied on President Obama’s executive actions.

We have great sympathy for these young men and women, and we have an opportunity now to pass legislation that protects them and prevents similar uncertainty in the future. However, hastily passing a clean bill that doesn’t solve the underlying problem will only encourage more illegal immigration and is no way to accomplish this goal.

Any steps we take to address the status of DACA recipients must be structured to prevent this same legal limbo down the road. That’s why any meaningful immigration deal must, among other things, put an end to chain migration.

Chain migration is one of the biggest problems in our immigration system today. Current law allows legal permanent residents and American citizens to sponsor both their immediate and extended family members for immigration to the United States. In other words, our system prioritizes people based on their family ties, instead of their ability to contribute to our nation’s economic well-being. For some categories, like spouses, minor children, elderly and disabled parents, this makes sense. Family is the bedrock of our society, and immediate families should be together.

But unlike other advanced industrialized countries, our nation also gives preferences to the extended family members of citizens. While well intentioned, this policy has had some unfortunate consequences. This policy has spurred a wave of mostly unskilled immigration into our country. Today, only one in 15 of the more than 1 million immigrants who are admitted every year are given a visa because of their job skills or entrepreneurial ability. The other 14 immigrants are admitted without regard to their skills. That means that every year we are admitting hundreds of thousands of workers with almost no consideration for the impact their immigration will have on American jobs and wages. That is one of the reasons why polling has shown that over 70 percent of Americans favor limiting chain migration to only the spouses and minor children of legal permanent residents and citizens.

This policy puts downward pressure on the wages of people who toil with their hands, who work on their feet. Americans with high school-level educations have seen their wages fall by 2 percent since the 1970s, while inflation has made the cost of living even higher. For Americans who haven’t finished high school, it’s even worse. Their wages have fallen by nearly 20 percent.

This trend will only get worse if Congress grants legal status to DACA recipients without ending chain migration. Simply doing this without changing our nation’s immigration laws will encourage low-skilled parents from around the world to illegally immigrate to this country with their small children in hopes of obtaining citizenship. And once they and their children receive citizenship, other extended family members will follow, continuing a never-ending cycle of falling wages and mass migration.

That’s why it’s imperative that any final bill eliminate the preferences for extended family members. This change can help avert the adverse economic repercussions.

Several of our colleagues have recently suggested that any fix to chain migration should only eliminate immigration preferences for a very narrow category of individuals: the adult, unmarried children of legal permanent residents. But such a limited change to immigration preferences wouldn’t even end chain migration for this category of individuals. It would merely delay it.

We support policy that is pro-family, pro-growth, and pro-legal immigration. But we cannot let an opportunity to adopt a more worker-focused policy pass us by. Doing so only guarantees that we will be forced to address this very same issue at a later date. And in the meantime, American workers will bear the brunt of our inaction.

The only way to start that process, and to stop the influx of low-skilled immigrants, is to end chain migration. This change is crucial, and any immigration deal must include it.

Because of Chain Migration, any DACA deal would mean the 800,000 illegal “Dreamers” would turn into over 18 million new legal and voting immigrants. And it would most certainly mean the loss of Texas as a Republican stronghold.

The Democrat Party has taken it upon themselves to shut down the government over what? A bunch of illegals? They have chosen to side with illegals who have had over 30 years to become legalized over people like you and me. Never has this happened in our nation’s history, to have elected public servants whom we pay for choose criminals over law abiding American Citizens.

Apparently, the Democrat Party didn’t get the memo as to why We The People elected President Donald Trump in 2016. We are sick and tired of being put in second place over any Illegal Alien who decides to break into our nation from whatever cesspool they came from only because “They” decided they can have a better life here. Living in the US and immigrating here isn’t a world right, it’s a privilege, and one that you don’t decide, we the American People decide if we want you here.

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